It goes without question that there has been an influx of excited investors piling into Web3 and this is despite the decrease in total volume sales in the last seven days. Since the start of May, the total market capitalization for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) rose to over $19.44 billion with the total volume exceeding $1.3 billion in the last seven days.
Although volumes are lower than usual, spectators are quick to wonder whether the projects launching are delivering workable products given the amount of liquidity that pumps into them. Although this is not always the case, NFT investors are making their assessments based on roadmaps, announcements and projections that the team shares. However, given the speed at which the nascent NFT sector is moving, detours and roadblocks are to be expected when investing in NFTs.
Notable projects and blue-chip status NFTs like Cool Cats’ Cool Pets, Axie Infinity and even Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) have slightly deviated from their intended plans, slightly curbing its users’ enthusiasm. While this clearly worked out well for BAYC, it is important that investors understand that investing capital on the promise of a roadmap could ultimately lead to disappointment.
The unpredictability of growing pains
It’s exciting to stumble on a project that appears to be blue-chip caliber. The project might tick all the boxes and the team has proven to have previously developed a working product, the art resonates with diverse groups of people. If the community is strong and rallies around their conviction toward the project and it’s backed by a desirable roadmap, then investors feel convinced that they’ve stumbled on a winner.
Of course, all of this is no guarantee of success.
Take for example, Cool Pets, which launched on Jan. 31 and intended to roll out its play-to-earn (P2E) game, Cooltopia. A few technical setbacks delayed the roll out and resulted in many NFT traders losing faith in the project. Adding to this, on April 29, Chris Hassett, the former CEO of Cool Cats NFT, stepped down from his role and the company is now in search of a replacement.
We’re on the hunt for a new CEO!!
Chris Hassett has stepped down as CEO. We thank him and wish him the best moving forward. We’re working with a top tier firm to help find a world-class CEO. In the interim, the founders will lead and focus on the vision and direction of CC
— Cool Cats (@coolcatsnft) April 29, 2022
Often, the biggest deterrent to a projects’ success are unforeseeable events that may create logistical problems but it’s important to note the difference between “good” and “bad” problems. For example, the acceleration of growth can create stress in a project’s ability to safely scale, but often puts a target on it.
Axie Infinity wasn’t immune to a socially engineered hack resulting in a $625 million hack that represents one of the largest cryptocurrency exploits in history.
As it stands, the Ronin bridge that transfers funds to the Ethereum mainnet, is closed. Meaning, users’ capital is currently locked on the Ronin network until a full audit is completed. This unforeseeable event has left investors with their capital locked, and their in-game tokens on a steep downtrend. In light of this, the community morale has seen some of its hardest days with investors voicing their opinions on how to proceed.
Market cycles can impact morale
The acceleration of growth can not only place a target on a project, but it can also lead to too many chefs in the kitchen experimenting with new ideas. Often, when a project’s user-base grows, so do the number of opinions on what is best for the future and sustainability of the community and the project. Here is where speculation begins to brew and expectations begin to form.
Yuga Labs’ The Otherdeed digital-land NFTs went down as the most anticipated mint for 2022 thus far, with speculated value propositions upward of $110,880. Most of these values were attributed to rare Koda NFTs, which were randomly dispersed on Otherdeed lands.
Since the mint was originally priced in ApeCoin, secondary marketplace, OpenSea supported APE as a form of payment for future listings. The Otherdeeds sold for an average price of $25,629 pre-veal but plummeted to $15,510 post-reveal, alongside the decline in price of APE.
Although many Web3 investors expected this mint to blow others by the wayside, they did not expect the overall crypto and NFT markets to head into a downward spiral. In the last seven days, Ethereum has dropped by 15% and with most NFTs being Ethereum-based, their prices have also taken a hit. Solana (SOL)-based NFTs have also been sorely impacted with SOL trending 21% down in the last seven days.
NFT traders also highly anticipated the mint would boost the NFT market with liquidity. While liquidity was injected into certain collections, the overall total sell volume for NFTs has dropped by 29% in the last seven days. These figures suggest that the market could be entering a cooling period.
With much of the market appearing in red, NFT investors are finding themselves in tough predicaments. Some investors extended leverage far more than they could cover and are having to force sell their assets at a loss to cover margin calls and liquidations. Others are rationalizing the negative slope to retail investors panicking because of interest rate hikes in the United States.
The WAGMI “we’re all gonna make it” mantra that grew popular among NFT investors is being tested and traders are having to grapple with market cycles that are not decorated in all-time highs and monumental volume. A positive is that oftentimes during these lulls, builders are born. More experienced investors use the anticipated market dips as times to “stack and survive,” by adding to their portfolios and riding the current lows back to new all-time highs.
Will the Ethereum 2.0 update reduce high gas fees?
Purpose of Ethereum 2.0
The primary goal of the Ethereum 2.0 update is to improve scalability so that the network can handle more transactions without delays or high fees.
While the full effects of the update will not be felt until it is fully rolled out, some of the possible use cases for Ethereum 2.0 include:
- Supporting the large-scale enterprise adoption of blockchain technology in private corporations and businesses;
- Creating more decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) and governance models based on smart contracts and trustless interactions;
- Ethereum token launches that will allow new projects to fundraise and launch their own tokens on the Ethereum network;
- The further expansion of nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and other digital assets that can be stored on the Ethereum blockchain; and
- Improved support for decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms and DApps is expected to be widely used by crypto enthusiasts and the broader public.
In addition to these benefits, it is also likely that Ethereum 2.0 will enable a variety of new use cases that are not possible on the current network, such as:
- Distributing tokens that represent ownership rights as a method of managing royalties in the music industry;
- Creating a decentralized AI (artificial intelligence) ecosystem that will allow users to train and monetize their own machine learning models;
- Facilitating safe and inexpensive cross-border payments;
- Allowing supply chain managers to track product delivery without fear of tampering;
- Providing a decentralized platform for gaming and predictive markets; and
- Increased privacy and the capacity to store large amounts of data, which can be particularly helpful for storing sensitive information such as medical records and financial data.
While there’s still time before the update is fully rolled out, the benefits it promises to bring are significant and could have a major impact on the way businesses and individuals use blockchain technology in the future.
The Ethereum platform’s popularity
The blockchain network’s popularity is expected to grow once Ethereum 2.0 is released.
Ethereum 2.0 will offer increased scalability, security and efficiency for businesses and individuals looking to take advantage of blockchain technology. Ethereum is currently one of the most well-known cryptocurrencies, alongside Bitcoin (BTC), with nearly 4 million wallets actively holding ETH as of February 2022.
The blockchain continues to be the place where most DeFi and NFT activities happen, with new DApps and projects being launched on the platform each day. According to analysts, Ethereum currently has 70% of all DeFi transactions in the cryptocurrency market, and its blockchain is used to support the majority of NFT and gaming projects.
The number of transactions on the Ethereum network
The average number of transactions on the Ethereum network is currently 1.1 to 1.5 million transactions per day.
These numbers are expected to increase exponentially after the launch of Ethereum 2.0, as it will allow significantly more transactions to be processed per day. At the moment, the network can only handle 15 transactions per second.
Ethereum 2.0 aims to increase this exponentially to about 150,000 by the time the upgrades are fully rolled out. If this becomes a reality, Ethereum will undoubtedly become one of the fastest and most scalable blockchains in existence, which should further increase its popularity.
Addressing scalability and high gas cost concerns with Ethereum 2.0
Scalability has always been one of Ethereum’s biggest challenges. This is especially true for developers seeking to build DApps and DeFi platforms on the blockchain, as transaction costs can be prohibitively high.
However, with the launch of Ethereum 2.0 (which introduces a new PoS consensus mechanism and shard chains), it will finally be possible to scale the network in a way that significantly reduces costs and facilitates faster transactions:
Tips and tricks to spend less gas fees on Ethereum
There are several ways you can reduce or even eliminate these costs when spending on gas fees on Ethereum.
- Use wallets that support batching: Batching is a feature offered by some wallets that allows you to group multiple transactions into one, thereby reducing the amount of gas you need to spend.
- Use ERC20 tokens: ERC20 tokens are digital assets that run on the Ethereum blockchain and can be used in place of ETH when paying for gas. This is because they often have much lower transaction fees than ETH, itself.
- Use a gas price calculator: Gas prices fluctuate frequently, so it’s important to use a gas price calculator to ensure you get the best possible price for your transaction.
- Use a gas tracker: A gas tracker is a tool that allows you to monitor the current gas prices on the Ethereum network in real-time. This can help ensure you’re always aware of the latest prices.
- Use a gas station: A gas station is a website that allows you to compare the gas prices of different ETH wallets to find the best one for your needs.
By following these tips, you can significantly reduce the amount of money you spend on gas when using Ethereum. This will help make it more affordable for you to use the network and participate in DeFi and other activities until such time that Ethereum 2.0 has fully launched.
‘The primary aim of the digital euro is still not clear’
The European Central Bank (ECB) is planning to launch a prototype of the digital euro in 2023. In the next five years, Europe could have its own central bank digital currency (CBDC) up and running. However, there are still many questions surrounding the prospective digital currency. In what form could it be issued? Is the ECB too late for the CBDC party, especially compared to other central banks such as that of the People’s Republic of China? To address these and other questions, Cointelegraph auf Deutsch spoke with Jonas Gross, chairman of the Digital Euro Association (DEA) and member of the expert panel of the European Blockchain Observatory and Forum.
New digital cash
Gross said that compared to digital cash issued by a commercial bank, central bank money carries fewer risks. A commercial bank can always go bankrupt, but a central bank cannot because in an emergency, it can print as much money as needed. And, in times of crisis, people may want, at least in theory, to transfer all their digital money from a private bank to the central bank, which will mean the end of the commercial banks’ business.
There are two potential mechanisms to avoid such a scenario: Either to set a cap on the amount of funds that a citizen can hold in central bank money or implement a negative interest rate applied to CBDC funds above a specified limit.
“The digital euro is mainly to become a kind of digital cash, also a new payment method and less a store of value. The central bank does not want to take away the banks’ business.”
The digital euro will not be adopted by European Union citizens if it won’t have certain features such as complete anonymity, said Gross. His team did a study that showed that it is technologically possible to make a digital euro just as anonymous as cash. It is also technically possible, Gross maintained, to allow digital euro payments to remain anonymous only up to a certain threshold, let’s say up to 10,000 euros, above which identification could be required. “This can be a great advantage for the digital euro, especially in view of the fact that cash is becoming less and less important,” Gross said.
“In an extreme case, in a few decades there could be very little use of cash, as is now the case in China or Sweden. And, if we didn’t have a digital euro that at least partially enables anonymous payments, then we would no longer have any privacy in payments. Even if it seems counterintuitive, the digital euro can promote privacy if one were to implement such a system with a focus on anonymity.”
According to Gross, the biggest problem at the moment is that the ECB has not yet defined the aim and functions of the prospective digital euro. Last year, the ECB, in cooperation with several member states’ central banks, tested four design options for the digital currency. The first was the digital euro on the KSI blockchain, the core technology used by Estonia’s e-government.
The second option is a digital euro built on the TIPS, a European electronic payment system launched in 2018. The third possibility is a hybrid solution that sits in between the blockchain and the conventional banking system. Finally, the fourth is a bearer instrument, which is a sort of money card that can be used for payments or hardware capable of processing offline payments without access to the internet.
These are only the rough possibilities, Gross said, and the ECB has not yet settled on a single design because the range of potential applications of the digital euro is not entirely clear.
Possible geopolitical risks
Projects like the digital yuan, China’s CBDC, could weaken the position of the euro altogether, especially if foreigners are also granted access to using it. Digital currencies can make it easier and cheaper to pay in that currency, Gross explained. Amid the Russia-Ukraine war, the issue of international payments and monetary sanctions is becoming geopolitically important again.
“The Russian government says Russian gas must now be paid for in roubles,” Gross said. “The Chinese can theoretically also come up with the idea that the products we have to export, which are currently transacted in U.S. dollars or euros, must from now on be paid for in the Chinese currency, for example, in the digital yuan.”
China can strengthen its currency by digitizing it, and this could cause the euro to lose some of its influence in the future. This is why the ECB should move faster on the digital euro and decide what it wants to get out of the CBDC after all.
This is a short version of the interview with Jonas Gross. You can find the full version here (in German.)
3 reasons why Cardano can sink further despite ADA price bouncing 58%
Cardano (ADA) pared a big portion of the weekly losses incurred during this week’s crypto market rout.
ADA’s price reached an intraday high of $0.60 on May 13, a day after rebounding from its week-to-date low of $0.38 — a 58% rally.
But the sharp ADA recovery does not promise an extended upward continuation, at least according to the three factors discussed below.
Stock market crash far from over
First, the price action in the Cardano and similar crypto-assets has been in lockstep with U.S. equities, especially tech stocks.
Notably, the correlation coefficient between ADA and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was 0.93 on May 13, meaning that any major moves in stocks would likely steer Cardano in the same direction.
Moreover, the chances of Nasdaq undergoing a sharp recovery are currently slim, as analysts highlight the overstretched valuations of the Big Tech stocks and their probability of crashing further in a higher interest-rate environment.
“The [ax] is hanging, rather, over high-growth tech companies,” opines Richard Waters, the Financial Times’ West Coast editor, adding:
“This is where valuations became most stretched, and where the market is having the most trouble finding its nadir.”
Simply put, Cardano’s persistent positive correlation with Nasdaq could result in more sharp declines in the ADA market, at least for the time being.
ADA’s “fifth wave missing”
Secondly, another hint of a potential Cardano price decline comes from a technical structure highlighted by Capo of Crypto, an independent market analyst.
The pseudonymous analyst notes that ADA could fall to the $0.30–$0.35 range next, given its possibility to paint the fifth and final wave of a bearish Elliott Wave setup, as shown in the chart below.
The target range coincides with the support area from January 2021 that preceded a 850% bull run.
Descending channel breakdown
Thirdly, Cardano has been breaking below its multi-month descending channel in another sign of weakness.
ADA has been trending lower inside a range defined by two falling, parallel trendlines, underscoring traders’ current strategy of buying near the lower trendline and selling toward the upper trendline.
But on May 12, ADA/USD broke down below the lower trendline near $0.568, showing that traders ignored the buying opportunity.
Instead, buyers showed up near the $0.378-level to accumulate ADA, leading to the price rebound, as discussed above. However, the trading volume backing the recovery move was lower than during the selloffs, indicating a weakening rebound trend.
Simultaneously, the upside retracement move showed signs of further weakness after testing the descending channel’s bottom as resistance — a way of confirming the breakdown. If the bulls fail to flip the price ceiling to support, then ADA’s likelihood of continuing its prevailing downtrend will be much higher.
Conversely, a decisive move above the channel’s lower trendline could have ADA then test its upper trendline near $1.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
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